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Oleiros vs GD Fontinhas

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 game between Oleiros and GD Fontinhas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Fontinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Oleiros
30%
Draws
31%
GD Fontinhas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oleiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GD Fontinhas come out ahead of Oleiros on wins alone.
  • Model gives Oleiros a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Oleiros Clean Sheet 68%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleiros GD Fontinhas
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.69 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oleiros vs GD Fontinhas
0:1
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Fontinhas vs Oleiros
2:0
Mar 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oleiros vs GD Fontinhas
3:1
Oct 26, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs Oleiros
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleiros 50 / 100
GD Fontinhas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleiros GD Fontinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Fontinhas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Oleiros remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Oleiros found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS GD Fontinhas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleiros

(Home)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
Oleiros
24 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 0
UC Idanhense
Page 1 of 6

GD Fontinhas

(Away)
07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0
GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1
GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Fontinhas 18 14 2 2 32:15 44
2 Sertanense 18 12 3 3 30:12 39
3 Marinhense 18 7 6 5 19:18 27
4 SC Praiense 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
5 Vitoria Sernache 18 4 9 5 24:24 21
6 GD Peniche 18 5 6 7 20:22 21
7 Oleiros 18 5 5 8 11:17 20
8 SB Castelo Branco 18 4 7 7 13:19 19
9 Condeixa 18 6 1 11 21:23 19
10 UC Idanhense 18 1 9 8 18:35 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)