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Oleiros vs Sertanense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022
Oleiros Logo

Oleiros

0 - 1
FT
Sertanense Logo

Sertanense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sertanense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sertanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Oleiros
20%
Draws
23%
Sertanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oleiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oleiros lately — more wins on the board than Sertanense.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Oleiros taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Oleiros Clean Sheet 68%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleiros Sertanense
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.69 0.94
Goals Conceded 1 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oleiros vs Sertanense
0:1
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sertanense vs Oleiros
2:0
Feb 20, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Sertanense vs Oleiros
1:1
Nov 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oleiros vs Sertanense
2:1
May 3, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oleiros vs Sertanense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleiros 77 / 100
Sertanense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleiros Sertanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertanense let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Oleiros remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sertanense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sertanense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleiros

(Home)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
Oleiros
24 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 0
UC Idanhense
Page 1 of 6

Sertanense

(Away)
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
13 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 0
Sertanense
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Fontinhas 18 14 2 2 32:15 44
2 Sertanense 18 12 3 3 30:12 39
3 Marinhense 18 7 6 5 19:18 27
4 SC Praiense 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
5 Vitoria Sernache 18 4 9 5 24:24 21
6 GD Peniche 18 5 6 7 20:22 21
7 Oleiros 18 5 5 8 11:17 20
8 SB Castelo Branco 18 4 7 7 13:19 19
9 Condeixa 18 6 1 11 21:23 19
10 UC Idanhense 18 1 9 8 18:35 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)