Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oleiros vs UC Idanhense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Oleiros
20%
Draws
7%
UC Idanhense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oleiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • UC Idanhense haven't matched Oleiros's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oleiros a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Oleiros have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Oleiros Clean Sheet 68%
UC Idanhense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleiros UC Idanhense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.69 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
UC Idanhense vs Oleiros
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Oleiros vs UC Idanhense
1:0
Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
UC Idanhense vs Oleiros
1:2
Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oleiros vs UC Idanhense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleiros 86 / 100
UC Idanhense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleiros UC Idanhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Idanhense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Oleiros stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

UC Idanhense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oleiros VS UC Idanhense
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleiros

(Home)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
Oleiros
24 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 0
UC Idanhense
Page 1 of 6

UC Idanhense

(Away)
08 May
SB Castelo Branco
4 : 2
UC Idanhense
01 May
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
Oleiros
24 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
UC Idanhense
10 Apr
UC Idanhense
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
03 Apr
Oleiros
1 : 0
UC Idanhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Fontinhas 18 14 2 2 32:15 44
2 Sertanense 18 12 3 3 30:12 39
3 Marinhense 18 7 6 5 19:18 27
4 SC Praiense 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
5 Vitoria Sernache 18 4 9 5 24:24 21
6 GD Peniche 18 5 6 7 20:22 21
7 Oleiros 18 5 5 8 11:17 20
8 SB Castelo Branco 18 4 7 7 13:19 19
9 Condeixa 18 6 1 11 21:23 19
10 UC Idanhense 18 1 9 8 18:35 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)