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Oleksandriya vs SC Poltava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oleksandriya host SC Poltava in the Persha Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Oleksandriya have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against SC Poltava's 1.18 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Oleksandriya slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2026, ending 5:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Oleksandriya to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Oleksandriya
20%
Draws
42%
SC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Poltava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Oleksandriya have won more games recently than SC Poltava.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Oleksandriya here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 17%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleksandriya SC Poltava
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Oleksandriya vs SC Poltava
5:2
Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
SC Poltava vs Oleksandriya
3:3
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs SC Poltava
1:0
Jul 17, 2023 Club Friendly
Oleksandriya vs SC Poltava
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleksandriya 31 / 100
SC Poltava 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleksandriya SC Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oleksandriya scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

SC Poltava let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Oleksandriya remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oleksandriya VS SC Poltava
1 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleksandriya

(Home)
24 Oct
Oleksandriya
2 : 0
Probiy Horodenka
18 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 1
Oleksandriya
11 Oct
Oleksandriya
1 : 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
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SC Poltava

(Away)
24 Oct
Zhytomyr 2
1 : 2
SC Poltava
17 Oct
SC Poltava
4 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 13 7 4 2 17:10 25
2 SC Poltava 13 7 3 3 24:11 24
3 Fenix Mariupol 13 7 3 3 20:13 24
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
5 Oleksandriya 13 6 5 2 19:11 23
6 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 13 4 4 5 13:15 16
9 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
10 Metalist Kharkiv 13 4 3 6 13:16 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 13 2 3 8 12:32 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 13 1 5 7 18:27 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)