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Olginatese vs AC Leon

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Crema A.
41' Event
Bonseri M.
90' Event
Ekuban T. A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Olginatese and AC Leon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olginatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Olginatese
35%
Draws
28%
AC Leon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Leon come out ahead of Olginatese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Olginatese's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 17%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese AC Leon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs AC Leon
2:1
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Olginatese
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olginatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Crema A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekuban T. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonseri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 39 / 100
AC Leon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese AC Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olginatese found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

AC Leon let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Olginatese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AC Leon
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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AC Leon

(Away)
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0
AC Leon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)