Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olginatese vs Ciserano-Bergamo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bardelloni E.
24' Event
Bertoli M.
34' Event
Cavagna J.

AI Match Summary

Ciserano-Bergamo in this Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciserano-Bergamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Olginatese
35%
Draws
28%
Ciserano-Bergamo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciserano-Bergamo lately — more wins on the board than Olginatese.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ciserano-Bergamo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 20%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese Ciserano-Bergamo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:3
Dec 5, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Olginatese
2:0
Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:0
Dec 9, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Olginatese
1:0
Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Olginatese
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olginatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavagna J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekuban T. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardelloni E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertoli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 32 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese Ciserano-Bergamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olginatese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ciserano-Bergamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Olginatese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciserano-Bergamo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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Ciserano-Bergamo

(Away)
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Castellanzese
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)