Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olginatese vs FC Castiglione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Olginatese and FC Castiglione finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Castiglione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Olginatese
6%
Draws
4%
FC Castiglione
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Castiglione carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Olginatese a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 68%
FC Castiglione Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese FC Castiglione
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 7
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs FC Castiglione
0:1
Sep 17, 2014 Serie D - Group B
FC Castiglione vs Olginatese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 95 / 100
FC Castiglione 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese FC Castiglione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olginatese scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Olginatese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: FC Castiglione has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Castiglione let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Olginatese VS FC Castiglione
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 7
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 7

FC Castiglione

(Away)
10 Aug
FC Castiglione
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
19 Jul
Mantova
13 : 0
FC Castiglione
28 May
Siena
2 : 1
FC Castiglione
20 May
Cuneo
1 : 2
FC Castiglione
17 May
FC Castiglione
1 : 1
Padova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Castiglione36228654:2674
2Lecco36199865:4266
3Seregno Calcio362051164:3765
4Ciserano361791053:3960
5Virtus Verona361514758:3459
6Pergolettese3615101146:4455
7Olginatese361591244:3454
8Ponte San Pietro3614101250:4252
9Ciliverghe Mazzano361491337:4051
10Sondrio361561546:5051
11Aurora Seriate361481442:4350
12Inveruno3613101347:4849
13Villafranca3612111344:4947
14MapelloBonate3612111336:4847
15Pro Sesto361381538:4147
16Caravaggio361181737:4241
17Folgore Caratese367161334:4037
18Castellana36792036:6130
19Montichiari36123326:975
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)