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Olhanense vs Castrense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 Estádio José Arcanjo, Olhão
Olhanense Logo

Olhanense

1 - 0
FT
Castrense Logo

Castrense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 game between Olhanense and Castrense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olhanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Olhanense
15%
Draws
42%
Castrense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olhanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Olhanense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Olhanense a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Olhanense Clean Sheet 68%
Castrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olhanense Castrense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.84 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Olhanense vs Castrense
1:0
Oct 29, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Castrense vs Olhanense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olhanense 50 / 100
Castrense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olhanense Castrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olhanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castrense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Castrense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Olhanense's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Olhanense VS Castrense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Olhanense

(Home)
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Olhanense
0 : 2
Imortal
02 Apr
SC Praiense
5 : 0
Olhanense
18 Mar
Olhanense
2 : 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
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Castrense

(Away)
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
20 Sept
Castrense
0 : 5
Lusitania FC
31 Aug
Castrense
1 : 0
CDR Quarteirense
22 Sept
Moura AC
4 : 2
Castrense
24 Sept
Castrense
0 : 3
Vila Mea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Farense 30 26 3 1 66:12 81
2 Oriental 30 19 6 5 40:19 63
3 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 42:30 58
4 Casa Pia 30 16 5 9 50:31 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 13 7 10 43:29 46
6 Louletano 30 13 5 12 43:39 44
7 Armacenenses 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
8 Moura AC 30 12 5 13 41:38 41
9 Montijo 30 9 10 11 40:44 37
10 Sporting Ideal 30 10 5 15 29:38 35
11 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 8 8 14 32:54 32
12 Operario 30 7 9 14 35:46 30
13 Almancilense 30 7 7 16 33:50 28
14 Castrense 30 5 11 14 32:47 26
15 Lusitano VRSA 30 6 7 17 24:49 25
16 Moncarapachense 30 6 5 19 27:53 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)