Sport Picks
Olhanense vs Esperanca de Lagos Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 Estádio José Arcanjo, Olhão 
AI Match Summary
Esperanca de Lagos in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esperanca de Lagos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olhanense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Esperanca de Lagos at 1.03 per game, Olhanense at 0.83.
- Win probability leans Olhanense's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Olhanense Clean Sheet 68%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olhanense | Esperanca de Lagos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 10 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Esperanca de Lagos vs Olhanense
0:1
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Olhanense vs Esperanca de Lagos
2:3
Mar 5, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Olhanense vs Esperanca de Lagos
3:3
Dec 13, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Esperanca de Lagos vs Olhanense
0:2
Mar 27, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Olhanense vs Esperanca de Lagos
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olhanense 50 / 100
Esperanca de Lagos 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olhanense Esperanca de Lagos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olhanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Esperanca de Lagos let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Esperanca de Lagos lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Olhanense's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Olhanense VS Esperanca de Lagos
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Olhanense
(Home) 20 Sept
Olhanense
1 : 0 Portel
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1 Olhanense
08 Apr
Olhanense
0 : 2 Imortal
02 Apr
SC Praiense
5 : 0 Olhanense
18 Mar
Olhanense
2 : 3 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
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20 Sept
Olhanense
1 : 0 Portel
08 Apr
Olhanense
0 : 2 Imortal
18 Mar
Olhanense
2 : 3 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
26 Feb
Olhanense
1 : 2 Fabril do Barreiro
12 Feb
Olhanense
1 : 0 SC Angrense
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Esperanca de Lagos
(Away) 08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0 Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1 Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0 Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0 CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1 Esperanca de Lagos
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08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0 Esperanca de Lagos
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0 Esperanca de Lagos
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1 Esperanca de Lagos
05 Mar
Serpa
2 : 4 Esperanca de Lagos
19 Feb
Juv. Evora
1 : 0 Esperanca de Lagos
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico CP | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 43:22 | 52 |
| 2 | Lusitano GC | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 35:22 | 51 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 37:16 | 46 |
| 4 | CD Rabo Peixe | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 33:19 | 45 |
| 5 | Imortal | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 6 | Fabril do Barreiro | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 37:33 | 39 |
| 8 | Serpa | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 44:36 | 36 |
| 9 | Oriental Dragon | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35:36 | 36 |
| 10 | SC Praiense | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Esperanca de Lagos | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28:38 | 31 |
| 12 | SC Angrense | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 17:46 | 17 |
| 13 | Olhanense | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 18:50 | 17 |
| 14 | Ferreiras | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 17:39 | 16 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
