Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2022/2023 Estádio José Arcanjo, Olhão

Olhanense

1 - 0

Monte do Trigo

Our Tip

Match Events

51'

Aubourg H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olhanense in this Taça de Portugal 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Olhanense

25%

Draws

35%

Monte do Trigo

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Olhanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Monte do Trigo haven't matched Olhanense's recent run of results.
Model gives Monte do Trigo a 35% chance of winning this.
Olhanense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Olhanense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Olhanense Clean Sheet 17%

Monte do Trigo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olhanense	Monte do Trigo
Matches Played	32	2
Wins	9	0
Draws	3	0
Losses	20	2
Goals Scored	0.88	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.04	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2022 Taça de Portugal

Olhanense vs Monte do Trigo

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olhanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Aubourg H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.52

Monte do Trigo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olhanense 28 / 100

Monte do Trigo 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olhanense Monte do Trigo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte do Trigo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte do Trigo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

Olhanense scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Olhanense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olhanense VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olhanense

(Home)

16 Apr

Esperanca de Lagos

0 : 1

Olhanense

08 Apr

Olhanense

0 : 2

Imortal

02 Apr

SC Praiense

5 : 0

Olhanense

18 Mar

Olhanense

2 : 3

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

12 Mar

Oriental Dragon

1 : 0

Olhanense

Page 1 of 7

Monte do Trigo

(Away)

02 Oct

Olhanense

1 : 0

Monte do Trigo

02 Sept

Monte do Trigo

1 : 2

Uniao Montemor

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Pero Pinheiro 7

AD Portomosense 1

Ferreiras 2

Culatrense 0

SC Pombal 2

Tomar 1

TBD -

Vigor Mocidade -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Vilar de Perdizes -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Sao Martinho -

TBD -

Guarda Desportiva -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Valadares Gaia FC 5

SC Salgueiros 2

TBD -

Olivais e Moscavide -

TBD -

Chaves -

SC Angrense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1

TBD -

Oliveirense -

Academica -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Maria de Fonte 0

Merelinense 4

TBD -

CD Rabo Peixe -

Alcains 0

Sertanense 1

TBD -

Castro Daire -

Lusitano FCV 0

Sanjoanense 3

Os Marialvas 3

Vila Cortez 1

CF Os Belenenses -

TBD -

Torreense -

Leca 1

GD Resende 2

FC Felgueiras 5

Mondinense 2

TBD -

Braga -

Lajense 3

Sao Roque 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

Juv. Evora 3

Moncarapachense 0

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Oriental Dragon 2

1º Dezembro 1

Canelas 2010 2

Regua 0

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Gondomar 1

Rebordosa 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Vizela -

Varzim 2

Vila Mea 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Marinhense 0

Leiria 1

Rebordelo 0

CDC Montalegre 5

Sao Joao de Ver 7

Mortagua FC 1

Esperanca de Lagos 2

Industria 0

Vila Caiz -

TBD -

Amora -

TBD -

Estoril -

Caldas SC -

TBD -

Covilha -

TBD -

Benfica -

Paivense -

TBD -

Santa Eulalia 0

Tirsense 1

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -

TBD -

Leixoes -

Vasco da Gama P. Delgada -

TBD -

Imortal -

SB Castelo Branco 8

Aguias do Moradal 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

GD Coruchense -

TBD -

Trofense -

TBD -

Famalicao -

Moura AC -

TBD -

Dumiense 4

Brito 1

Sintrense 1

Fazendense 0

TBD -

Real SC -

Vilaverdense FC 3

Atletico Arcos 1

TBD -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Oliveira Hospital 1

Lusitania FC 0

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Atletico SC 2

Olhanense 5

TBD -

Monte do Trigo -

Freamunde 2

GD Joane 3

TBD -

BSAD -

Machico -

TBD -

Alverca 2

Rio Maior SC 0

TBD -

Boavista -

Fabril do Barreiro -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Oriental 1

FC Madalena 0

FC Alpendorada 0

Paredes 1

Silves FC -

TBD -

Courense -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Camacha 1

Amarante FC 0

Arronches Benfica 2

Mosteirense 0

Vinhais 0

SC Vianense 4

GS Loures -

TBD -

Meda 0

Beira Mar 6

GD Braganca 2

Desportivo Moncao 1

TBD -

Montijo -

Agueda -

TBD -

Pevidem -

Santarem 1

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Mafra -

TBD -

Maritimo -

AD Fafe 5

CD Ribeira Brava 0

TBD -

Anadia -

TBD -

FC Porto -

1º de Maio Funchal -

TBD -

Serpa 3

Castrense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Lusitano GC 0

GD Fontinhas 2

SC Lusitania 2

SC Praiense 3

TBD -

Arouca -

1/64-finals

Pero Pinheiro 2

Ferreiras 1

SC Pombal 2

Vigor Mocidade 0

Vitoria Setubal 4

Vilar de Perdizes 0

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Sao Martinho 4

Guarda Desportiva 3

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Valadares Gaia FC 2

Olivais e Moscavide 0

TBD -

Chaves -

SC Angrense 0

Nacional 2

Uniao Da Serra 0

Oliveirense 4

Academica 1

Tondela 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Merelinense 3

CD Rabo Peixe 4

Sertanense 3

Castro Daire 0

Sanjoanense 3

Os Marialvas 1

CF Os Belenenses 3

Torreense 1

GD Resende 1

FC Felgueiras 2

TBD -

Braga -

Lajense 1

Moreirense 3

Juv. Evora 2

Vilafranquense 3

Oriental Dragon 0

Canelas 2010 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Gondomar 2

Penafiel 3

TBD -

Vizela -

Varzim 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Leiria 0

CDC Montalegre 1

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Vila Caiz 1

Amora 3

TBD -

Estoril -

Caldas SC 3

Covilha 0

TBD -

Benfica -

Paivense 1

Tirsense 2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0

Leixoes 5

Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 0

Imortal 1

SB Castelo Branco 0

SC Farense 1

GD Coruchense 0

Trofense 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

Moura AC 0

Dumiense 5

Sintrense 2

Real SC 3

Vilaverdense FC 2

Atletico CP 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

Oliveira Hospital 2

Estrela da Amadora 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Olhanense 1

Monte do Trigo 0

GD Joane 0

BSAD 3

Machico 2

Alverca 1

TBD -

Boavista -

Fabril do Barreiro 2

Academico Viseu 6

Oriental 2

Paredes 1

Silves FC 3

Courense 5

ACDR Lamelas 0

Camacha 1

Arronches Benfica 0

SC Vianense 2

GS Loures 0

Beira Mar 3

GD Braganca 1

Montijo 0

Agueda 0

Pevidem 1

Santarem 0

Mafra 1

TBD -

Maritimo -

AD Fafe 1

Anadia 2

TBD -

FC Porto -

1º de Maio Funchal 0

Serpa 8

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

GD Fontinhas 5

SC Praiense 0

TBD -

Arouca -

1/32-finals

Pero Pinheiro 4

SC Pombal 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Pacos Ferreira 0

Sao Martinho 0

Casa Pia 2

Valadares Gaia FC 3

Chaves 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 1

Tondela 2

Santa Clara 0

CD Rabo Peixe 2

Sertanense 1

Sanjoanense 3

CF Os Belenenses 2

FC Felgueiras 1

Braga 2

Moreirense 3

Vilafranquense 0

Canelas 2010 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Penafiel 3

Vizela 4

Varzim 1

Sporting CP 0

CDC Montalegre 1

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Amora 2

Estoril 3

Caldas SC 1

Benfica 2

Tirsense 1

Leixoes 4

Imortal 0

SC Farense 3

Trofense 0

Famalicao 1

Dumiense 2

Real SC 1

Vilaverdense FC 2

Portimonense 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Rio Ave 2

Olhanense 0

BSAD 2

Machico 1

Boavista 0

Academico Viseu 1

Oriental 0

Courense 0

Camacha 6

SC Vianense 1

Beira Mar 2

GD Braganca 0

Pevidem 1

Mafra 4

Maritimo 2

Anadia 0

FC Porto 6

Serpa 0

Gil Vicente 3

GD Fontinhas 0

Arouca 2

1/16-finals

Pero Pinheiro 1

Vitoria Setubal 4

Casa Pia 2

Valadares Gaia FC 0

Nacional 1

Tondela 0

CD Rabo Peixe 2

Sanjoanense 0

Braga 2

Moreirense 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Vizela 1

Varzim 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Estoril 0

Benfica 1

Leixoes 3

SC Farense 1

Famalicao 4

Dumiense 1

Vilaverdense FC 7

Oliveira Hospital 0

BSAD 4

Machico 0

Academico Viseu 3

Camacha 0

Beira Mar 3

Pevidem 2

Mafra 0

FC Porto 3

Gil Vicente 1

Arouca 4

1/8-finals

Vitoria Setubal 0

Casa Pia 1

Nacional 1

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Braga 3

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Varzim 0

Benfica 2

Leixoes 1

Famalicao 2

Vilaverdense FC 1

BSAD 4

Academico Viseu 2

Beira Mar 0

FC Porto 4

Arouca 0

Quarter-finals

Casa Pia 2

Nacional 5

Braga 2

Benfica 1

Famalicao 4

BSAD 1

Academico Viseu 0

FC Porto 1

Semi-finals

Nacional 2

Braga 7

Famalicao 3

FC Porto 5

Final

Braga 0

FC Porto 2

Olhanense vs Monte do Trigo

Portugal

Olhanense

Monte do Trigo

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Olhanense Compare

Monte do Trigo Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Olhanense

Monte do Trigo

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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