Sport Picks
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción 
Match Events
28'
28'
Vera E.
Assist: Benitez J.
28'
28'
Vera E.
43'
43'
Sub
Sanchez R. In: Lezcano R.
Out: Sanchez R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Copa de Primera tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportivo Ameliano haven't matched Olimpia Asuncion's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Asuncion | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Asuncion 41 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Asuncion Sportivo Ameliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpia Asuncion's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Sportivo Ameliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Olimpia Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Asuncion VS Sportivo Ameliano
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Asuncion
(Home) 26 Jul
Olimpia Asuncion
0 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
27 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 A. Italiano
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
20 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 Vasco
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Olimpia Asuncion
0 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
27 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 A. Italiano
20 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1 Vasco
15 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 2 Recoleta
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Ameliano
(Away) 28 Jul
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
24 Apr
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
10 Apr
2 de Mayo
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
