Sport Picks
Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción 
Match Events
13'
13'
Cardozo F.
44'
44'
Canete Torres A. D.
Assist: Dominguez F.
45'
45'
Dominguez F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Olimpia Asuncion carry the better recent record into this one.
- Olimpia Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Asuncion | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Delmas E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sandoval H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Cerro Porteno Compare
Top Goalscorer Canete Torres A. D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Asuncion 68 / 100
Cerro Porteno 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Asuncion Cerro Porteno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpia Asuncion found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Olimpia Asuncion has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Cerro Porteno let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Asuncion VS Cerro Porteno
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Asuncion
(Home) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 7
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
23 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 4
Cerro Porteno
(Away) 05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
27 Aug
Resistencia
0 : 1 Cerro Porteno
23 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
