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Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción
Olimpia Asuncion Logo

Olimpia Asuncion

3 - 2
FT
Recoleta Logo

Recoleta

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Delmas E.
Assist: Lezcano R.
46'
Sub
Schupp M. In: Ferreira B.
Out: Schupp M.
46'
Sub
Figueredo C. In: Medina B.
Out: Figueredo C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Olimpia Asuncion
15%
Draws
0%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Olimpia Asuncion have won more games recently than Recoleta.
  • Model gives Olimpia Asuncion a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olimpia Asuncion have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Asuncion Recoleta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.86 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Oct 10, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Delmas E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandoval H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Guggiari G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wlk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Asuncion 85 / 100
Recoleta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Asuncion Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Olimpia Asuncion remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Recoleta's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Olimpia Asuncion scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Asuncion VS Recoleta
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Asuncion

(Home)
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Guarani
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Recoleta

(Away)
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 22 15 4 3 37:17 49
2 Nacional Asuncion 22 10 9 3 31:22 39
3 Cerro Porteno 22 11 5 6 30:22 38
4 Sportivo Ameliano 22 8 9 5 27:21 33
5 Sportivo Trinidense 22 8 8 6 30:24 32
6 Libertad Asuncion 22 9 4 9 34:26 31
7 Guarani 22 7 8 7 27:23 29
8 Recoleta 22 8 4 10 35:32 28
9 Rubio Nu 22 6 5 11 15:26 23
10 2 de Mayo 22 5 7 10 18:35 22
11 Sp. Luqueno 22 5 5 12 24:33 20
12 San Lorenzo 22 3 6 13 14:41 15
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)