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Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción
Olimpia Asuncion Logo

Olimpia Asuncion

3 - 0
FT
Sp. Luqueno Logo

Sp. Luqueno

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ortiz R.
Assist: Delmas E.
45' Event
Benitez R.
45'
Mongelos F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Olimpia Asuncion
15%
Draws
32%
Sp. Luqueno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Olimpia Asuncion have won more games recently than Sp. Luqueno.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Olimpia Asuncion taking it.
  • Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olimpia Asuncion have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 20%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Asuncion Sp. Luqueno
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 22 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.81 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Sep 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
3:0
May 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
Mar 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benitez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Asuncion 76 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Asuncion Sp. Luqueno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Asuncion scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Sp. Luqueno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Olimpia Asuncion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Asuncion VS Sp. Luqueno
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Asuncion

(Home)
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
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Sp. Luqueno

(Away)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)