Sport Picks
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción 
Match Events
26'
26'
Cabral R.
31'
31'
Rodriguez W.
46'
46'
Sub
Dominguez J. In: Sanchez R.
Out: Dominguez J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Sportivo Ameliano haven't matched Olimpia Asuncion's recent run of results.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Olimpia Asuncion taking it.
- Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Asuncion | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:1
May 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sandoval H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreira E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Asuncion 59 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Asuncion Sportivo Ameliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpia Asuncion scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Sportivo Ameliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Olimpia Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Asuncion VS Sportivo Ameliano
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Asuncion
(Home) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
23 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Ameliano
(Away) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
16 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
