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Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Melgarejo D.
Own Goal
37'
Centurion M.
45' Event
Zarza P.
Assist: Gauto N.

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Asuncion in this Copa de Primera matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Asuncion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Olimpia Asuncion
17%
Draws
13%
Sportivo Trinidense
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Sportivo Trinidense.
  • Olimpia Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Asuncion Sportivo Trinidense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:1
Mar 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
3:2
Sep 19, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintana H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alcaraz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sportivo Trinidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarza P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Asuncion 77 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Asuncion Sportivo Trinidense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Asuncion scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Sportivo Trinidense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Olimpia Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Asuncion VS Sportivo Trinidense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115