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Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Franco Zayas A. F.
45' Event
Cuesta C.
Assist: Moreira N.
65'
Tche Tche

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Olimpia Asuncion
20%
Draws
35%
Vasco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpia Asuncion have won more games recently than Vasco.
  • Model gives Olimpia Asuncion a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 16%
Vasco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Asuncion Vasco
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco
1:4
Aug 13, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:0
May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco
3:1
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
3:0
Apr 27, 1990 Copa Libertadores
Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamarra M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandoval H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuesta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Asuncion 36 / 100
Vasco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Asuncion Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Asuncion has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Olimpia Asuncion's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vasco has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Asuncion VS Vasco
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Asuncion

(Home)
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Vasco

(Away)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0
Vasco
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)