Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Match Events

45'

Franco Zayas A. F.

45'

Cuesta C.

Assist: Moreira N.

65'

Tche Tche

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Asuncion host Vasco in the Copa Sudamericana. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Olimpia Asuncion have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Vasco's 1.5 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward Olimpia Asuncion. Olimpia Asuncion in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Olimpia Asuncion

Draws

Vasco

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Olimpia Asuncion has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vasco.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Olimpia Asuncion.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Sudamericana provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%

Vasco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olimpia Asuncion	Vasco
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	20	11
Draws	5	8
Losses	4	10
Goals Scored	1.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Apr 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Apr 27, 1990 Copa Libertadores

Vasco vs Olimpia Asuncion

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Apr 3, 1990 Copa Libertadores

Olimpia Asuncion vs Vasco

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamarra M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sandoval H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuesta C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Asuncion 95 / 100

Vasco 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olimpia Asuncion Vasco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Asuncion scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Vasco let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Olimpia Asuncion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vasco lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Asuncion VS Vasco

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Macara	6	2	4	0	6:3	10
2	Tigre	6	2	3	1	8:5	9
3	America De Cali	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
4	Alianza Atl.	6	0	2	4	2:9	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Cienciano	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
3	Juventud	6	1	4	1	10:7	7
4	Academia Puerto Cabello	6	2	1	3	6:9	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo	6	3	3	0	6:1	12
2	O Higgins	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
3	Millonarios	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
4	Boston River	6	1	0	5	5:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Recoleta	6	1	5	0	6:5	8
2	Santos	6	1	4	1	8:6	7
3	San Lorenzo	6	1	4	1	6:5	7
4	Dep. Cuenca	6	1	3	2	3:7	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo RJ	6	5	1	0	15:5	16
2	Caracas	6	2	3	1	9:9	9
3	Racing Club	6	2	2	2	11:9	8
4	Independiente	6	0	0	6	3:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Montevideo City	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
2	Gremio	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Deportivo Riestra	6	1	2	3	4:10	5
4	Palestino	6	0	3	3	1:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	6	4	1	1	10:6	13
2	Vasco	6	3	1	2	10:6	10
3	A. Italiano	6	2	1	3	7:9	7
4	Barracas Central	6	0	3	3	2:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	River Plate	6	4	2	0	9:3	14
2	Bragantino	6	3	1	2	12:5	10
3	Carabobo	6	3	0	3	6:5	9
4	Blooming	6	0	1	5	3:17	1