Sport Picks
Olimpia Elblag vs Lidzbark Warmimski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski, Elblag 
Match Events
27'
27'
Kuzimski M.
32'
32'
Swiety L.
40'
40'
Szczudlinski K.
AI Match Summary
Olimpia Elblag in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Elblag.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lidzbark Warmimski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Olimpia Elblag lately — more wins on the board than Lidzbark Warmimski.
- Model gives Olimpia Elblag a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 13%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Elblag | Lidzbark Warmimski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Lidzbark Warmimski
4:2
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Elblag
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Elblag
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Lidzbark Warmimski
0:0
Jul 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Elblag
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Elblag Compare
Top Goalscorer Swiety L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Szczudlinski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Lidzbark Warmimski Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuzimski M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bogdanski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Elblag 39 / 100
Lidzbark Warmimski 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Elblag Lidzbark Warmimski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Elblag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lidzbark Warmimski let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Olimpia Elblag scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Olimpia Elblag remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Elblag VS Lidzbark Warmimski
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Elblag
(Home) 03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
19 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
0 : 2 Widzew Lodz II
07 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
(Away) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
23 Aug
Widzew Lodz II
4 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
07 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
