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Olimpia Elblag vs Lidzbark Warmimski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski, Elblag
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Elblag host Lidzbark Warmimski in the III Liga - Group I. Little to choose between these two on current form. Olimpia Elblag have averaged 0.88 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Lidzbark Warmimski's 0 scored and 0.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Olimpia Elblag slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.78 vs 1.50, favoring Olimpia Elblag. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Olimpia Elblag
6%
Draws
4%
Lidzbark Warmimski
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia Elblag lately — more wins on the board than Lidzbark Warmimski.
  • Model gives Olimpia Elblag a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 16%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Lidzbark Warmimski
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Elblag
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Elblag
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Lidzbark Warmimski
0:0
Jul 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Elblag
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 84 / 100
Lidzbark Warmimski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Lidzbark Warmimski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Elblag scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Lidzbark Warmimski has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Olimpia Elblag remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Lidzbark Warmimski
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Elblag

(Home)
31 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Plock II
25 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
18 Jul
Wda Swiecie
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
15 Jul
Lidzbark Warmimski
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
11 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
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Lidzbark Warmimski

(Away)
15 Jul
Lidzbark Warmimski
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
19 Jul
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
16 Jul
MKS Mlawa
3 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
07 Jun
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 0
Unia Skierniewice
30 May
LKS Lomza
2 : 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jagiellonia II 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Plock II 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 KTS Weszlo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 LKS Lomza 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Pelikan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Swit Mazowiecki 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Suwalki 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 MKS Mlawa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Olimpia Zambrow 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Widzew Lodz II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Warta Sieradz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 LKS Lodz II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Troszyn 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Lidzbark Warmimski 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Zabkovia Zabki 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
17 Olimpia Elblag 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)