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Olimpia Elblag vs LKS Lomza

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski
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Match Events

49' Event
Dziegielewski D.
57' Event
Mich H.
90' Event
Antkowiak H.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Olimpia Elblag and LKS Lomza finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LKS Lomza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Olimpia Elblag
33%
Draws
40%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: LKS Lomza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • LKS Lomza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on LKS Lomza taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag LKS Lomza
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs LKS Lomza
0:3
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Olimpia Elblag
3:0
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs LKS Lomza
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs LKS Lomza
2:0
May 22, 2016 III Liga - Group V
Olimpia Elblag vs LKS Lomza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziegielewski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mich H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 26 / 100
LKS Lomza 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag LKS Lomza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Elblag found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: LKS Lomza conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Olimpia Elblag stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS LKS Lomza
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315