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Olimpia Elblag vs MKS Mlawa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski
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Match Events

45' Event
Kirejczyk G.
90' Event
Cegielka M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Olimpia Elblag and MKS Mlawa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MKS Mlawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Olimpia Elblag
22%
Draws
18%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia Elblag come out ahead of MKS Mlawa on wins alone.
  • Olimpia Elblag are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 16%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs MKS Mlawa
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Olimpia Elblag
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs MKS Mlawa
6:3
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs MKS Mlawa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirejczyk G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cegielka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 57 / 100
MKS Mlawa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag MKS Mlawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MKS Mlawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Olimpia Elblag's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Olimpia Elblag stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS MKS Mlawa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315