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Olimpia Elblag vs Widzew Lodz II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski, Elblag
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Match Events

62' Event
Ratajczyk A.
84' Event
Ratajczyk A.

AI Match Summary

Widzew Lodz II in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Widzew Lodz II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Olimpia Elblag
15%
Draws
8%
Widzew Lodz II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Olimpia Elblag haven't matched Widzew Lodz II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia Elblag's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Widzew Lodz II here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
Widzew Lodz II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Widzew Lodz II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.28 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Widzew Lodz II
0:2
May 10, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Widzew Lodz II vs Olimpia Elblag
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Widzew Lodz II
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Widzew Lodz II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratajczyk A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 83 / 100
Widzew Lodz II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Widzew Lodz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Elblag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Olimpia Elblag's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Widzew Lodz II has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Olimpia Elblag remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Widzew Lodz II
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Elblag

(Home)
10 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 1
MKS Mlawa
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
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Widzew Lodz II

(Away)
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2
Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
12 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)