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Olimpia FC vs Comercial Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paulista A3 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comercial in this Paulista A3 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olimpia FC
15%
Draws
85%
Comercial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Olimpia FC haven't matched Comercial's recent run of results.
  • Comercial are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Comercial have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Olimpia FC Clean Sheet 19%
Comercial Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia FC Comercial
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 3 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.72 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Paulista A3
Olimpia FC vs Comercial
1:3
Mar 10, 2021 Paulista A3
Comercial vs Olimpia FC
0:0
Oct 3, 2020 Paulista A3
Olimpia FC vs Comercial
0:3
Feb 23, 2019 Paulista A3
Comercial vs Olimpia FC
2:0
Mar 16, 2017 Paulista A3
Comercial vs Olimpia FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia FC 10 / 100
Comercial 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia FC Comercial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Comercial conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Comercial's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Olimpia FC scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Comercial
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia FC

(Home)
21 Jun
Tanabi
5 : 0
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Olimpia FC
1 : 4
Tupa
08 Jun
Santacruzense
4 : 1
Olimpia FC
25 May
Olimpia FC
1 : 2
Assisense
18 May
Olimpia FC
0 : 3
Tanabi
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Comercial

(Away)
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1
Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3
Comercial
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 15 11 2 2 25:9 35
2 EC Sao Bernardo 15 9 3 3 22:9 30
3 Comercial 15 8 4 3 25:16 28
4 Capivariano 15 7 4 4 21:15 25
5 Velo Clube 15 7 4 4 18:12 25
6 Linense 15 6 5 4 21:19 23
7 Batatais 15 5 7 3 13:14 22
8 Nacional SP 15 5 6 4 17:16 21
9 Desportivo 15 5 3 7 20:20 18
10 Marilia 15 4 6 5 16:15 18
11 Rio Preto EC 15 4 4 7 15:19 16
12 Olimpia FC 15 4 4 7 17:23 16
13 Primavera EC 15 4 3 8 13:20 15
14 Barretos EC 15 3 4 8 15:26 13
15 GE Osasco 15 3 3 9 12:23 12
16 Paulista 15 3 2 10 12:26 11
Promotion - Paulista A3 2020 (Play Offs)