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Olimpia vs Deportivo Mixco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Benguche J.
Assist: Rodriguez E.
57'
Bennett C.
64'
Sub
Dibble N. In: Garcia F.
Out: Dibble N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Olimpia
15%
Draws
36%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Mixco.
  • Model gives Olimpia a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Olimpia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 17%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.18 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Olimpia vs Deportivo Mixco
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Benguche J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 84 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Deportivo Mixco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Olimpia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Deportivo Mixco
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Mixco

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)