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Olimpia vs Juticalpa

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Flores D.
27'
Fajardo A.
35' Event
Fajardo A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Olimpia and Juticalpa finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Olimpia
11%
Draws
9%
Juticalpa
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Olimpia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Olimpia a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 68%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Juticalpa
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olimpia
1:6
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Juticalpa
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olimpia
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Juticalpa
2:2
Mar 11, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olimpia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guity K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Juticalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajardo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villafranca J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 86 / 100
Juticalpa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Juticalpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olimpia scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Juticalpa let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Juticalpa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Juticalpa
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0
Olimpia
16 May
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
13 May
Olimpia
3 : 2
Real Espana
10 May
Real Espana
3 : 1
Olimpia
07 May
Olimpia
2 : 0
Marathon
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Juticalpa

(Away)
27 Apr
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Apr
Victoria
2 : 1
Juticalpa
19 Apr
Motagua
2 : 1
Juticalpa
16 Apr
Juticalpa
1 : 1
Platense
09 Apr
Juticalpa
0 : 4
Olancho
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana20117237:2540
2Motagua20116336:1739
3Olimpia20115435:1738
4Olancho2088428:1632
5Marathon2076723:1927
6Genesis FC2065920:2823
7CD Choloma2065923:3223
8Platense2056926:2921
9Lobos UPNFM2056923:3021
10Juticalpa20461018:4118
11Victoria20441225:4016
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)