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Olimpia vs Luis Angel Firpo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Rodriguez E.
(Penalty)
35'
Jean-Baptiste J.
45'
Mercado M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Olimpia
20%
Draws
38%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpia have won more games recently than Luis Angel Firpo.
  • Model gives Olimpia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Olimpia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 20%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 21 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.82 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Olimpia vs Luis Angel Firpo
3:0
Sep 11, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Luis Angel Firpo vs Olimpia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Guity K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.91

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 85 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Luis Angel Firpo conceded in 60% of 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Olimpia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Luis Angel Firpo
2.14 Goals Scored 1
0.29 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
10 Oct
Genesis FC
0 : 1
Olimpia
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Olimpia 6
Luis Angel Firpo 0
Cartagines 5
Saprissa 4
Alajuelense 5
Marathon 3
Alianza FC 0
Motagua 3
Semi-finals
Olimpia -
Cartagines -
Alajuelense -
Motagua -
Final
TBD -
TBD -