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Olimpia vs Platense

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Santos B.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Morales A. In: Arriola Y.
Out: Morales A.
61'
Arboleda Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Olimpia and Platense finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Olimpia
40%
Draws
29%
Platense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Platense haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Olimpia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 20%
Platense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Platense
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
4:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Olimpia
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Platense vs Olimpia
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
3:1
Apr 14, 2022 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Platense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Benguche J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Platense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 32 / 100
Platense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Platense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olimpia scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Platense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Olimpia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Platense
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
24 Jul
Olimpia
1 : 0
Motagua
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0
Olimpia
16 May
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
13 May
Olimpia
3 : 2
Real Espana
10 May
Real Espana
3 : 1
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

Platense

(Away)
01 May
Olimpia
4 : 0
Platense
26 Apr
Platense
1 : 0
Olancho
22 Apr
Real Espana
2 : 0
Platense
19 Apr
Platense
4 : 1
Lobos UPNFM
16 Apr
Juticalpa
1 : 1
Platense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana20117237:2540
2Motagua20116336:1739
3Olimpia20115435:1738
4Olancho2088428:1632
5Marathon2076723:1927
6Genesis FC2065920:2823
7CD Choloma2065923:3223
8Platense2056926:2921
9Lobos UPNFM2056923:3021
10Juticalpa20461018:4118
11Victoria20441225:4016
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)