Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olimpia vs Real Espana

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bengtson J.
29'
Jean-Baptiste J.
30'
Garcia R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Olimpia and Real Espana finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Olimpia
35%
Draws
31%
Real Espana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Real Espana haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 20%
Real Espana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Real Espana
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Real Espana
3:2
May 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Real Espana vs Olimpia
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Real Espana vs Olimpia
3:2
Mar 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Real Espana
1:1
Dec 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Real Espana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengtson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arboleda Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Real Espana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ritacco G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 67 / 100
Real Espana 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Real Espana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Real Espana has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Olimpia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Real Espana
2.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1 Goals Conceded 0.57
100% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 14%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
Page 1 of 7

Real Espana

(Away)
12 Sept
Olancho
1 : 1
Real Espana
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
23 Aug
Marathon
1 : 1
Real Espana
16 Aug
Real Espana
1 : 1
Atletico Independiente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marathon 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
2 Olimpia 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
3 Real Espana 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motagua 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
2 Genesis FC 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Olancho 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)