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Olimpia Zambrow vs Zabkovia Zabki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Jankiewicz J.
28' Event
Stec M.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Mensah L. K.

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Zambrow in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Zambrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Olimpia Zambrow
30%
Draws
41%
Zabkovia Zabki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zabkovia Zabki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia Zambrow lately — more wins on the board than Zabkovia Zabki.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Zambrow Zabkovia Zabki
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.36 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Zabkovia Zabki
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Zambrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Matus E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mensah L. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Zambrow 34 / 100
Zabkovia Zabki 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Zambrow Zabkovia Zabki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zabkovia Zabki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zabkovia Zabki conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Olimpia Zambrow scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Olimpia Zambrow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Zambrow VS Zabkovia Zabki
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Zambrow

(Home)
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 6

Zabkovia Zabki

(Away)
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)