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Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Circulo Deportivo

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Gonzalez F.
57'
Sub
Rius C. In: Cos B.
Out: Rius C.
57'
Sub
Gomez L. In: Marin Q.
Out: Gomez L.

AI Match Summary

Olimpo Bahia Blanca in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpo Bahia Blanca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
39%
Draws
31%
Circulo Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpo Bahia Blanca lately — more wins on the board than Circulo Deportivo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 68%
Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpo Bahia Blanca Circulo Deportivo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:1
Apr 27, 2026 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Circulo Deportivo
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Circulo Deportivo
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0:1
Jun 9, 2024 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Circulo Deportivo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Circulo Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca 41 / 100
Circulo Deportivo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Circulo Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Olimpo Bahia Blanca remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Circulo Deportivo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Olimpo Bahia Blanca VS Circulo Deportivo
0.38 Goals Scored 0.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512