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Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti, Bahía Blanca
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Samaniego L. In: Pavone N.
Out: Samaniego L.
53'
Dauria M.
60'
Sub
Ramirez D. In: Susvielles J.
Out: Ramirez D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
35%
Draws
23%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olimpo Bahia Blanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpo Bahia Blanca, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpo Bahia Blanca Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 12 10
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.48 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:2
Sep 27, 2026 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreyra M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Susvielles J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca 32 / 100
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Gimnasia Chivilcoy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpo Bahia Blanca went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Olimpo Bahia Blanca scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Gimnasia Chivilcoy conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpo Bahia Blanca VS Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

(Home)
11 Oct
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1
San Martin Formosa
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1
Cipolletti
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

(Away)
10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Sol de America
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
San Martin Formosa 2
Biblioteca Atenas 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 4
Alvarado 4
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 2
Cipolletti 6
Sol de America 2
Semi-finals
San Martin Formosa 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
Alvarado 0
Cipolletti 1
Final
TBD -
TBD -