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Olimps Riga vs FK Daugava Riga

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2010/2011
Sun, Sep 26, 2010
0 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Daugava Riga in this Latvian Cup 2010/2011 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olimps Riga
15%
Draws
85%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Daugava Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Daugava Riga lately — more wins on the board than Olimps Riga.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FK Daugava Riga taking it.
  • FK Daugava Riga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimps Riga, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 19%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimps Riga FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.46
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2011 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Olimps Riga
4:0
Aug 28, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FK Daugava Riga
2:1
Jun 25, 2011 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Olimps Riga
2:1
May 4, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FK Daugava Riga
0:0
Oct 27, 2010 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Olimps Riga
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimps Riga 10 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimps Riga FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Daugava Riga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: FK Daugava Riga registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

FK Daugava Riga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Olimps Riga scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Daugava Riga
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimps Riga

(Home)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
Page 1 of 6

FK Daugava Riga

(Away)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FK Daugava Riga 3
Valmiera 1
RFS 1
Ventspils 2
Skonto 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 1
Jelgava 0
FK Liepaja 1
Semi-finals
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Ventspils 2
FK Liepaja 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Final
Ventspils 3
FK Liepaja 1