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Olimps Riga vs Jelgava

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Virslīga 2011
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
33' Event
51' Event

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2011 game between Olimps Riga and Jelgava finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jelgava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olimps Riga
15%
Draws
85%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jelgava come out ahead of Olimps Riga on wins alone.
  • Jelgava are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Virslīga 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jelgava have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 17%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimps Riga Jelgava
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 1 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Jelgava
1:3
Sep 14, 2011 Virsliga
Jelgava vs Olimps Riga
2:1
Jul 31, 2011 Latvian Cup
Jelgava vs Olimps Riga
3:1
Jul 10, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Jelgava
1:3
May 15, 2011 Virsliga
Jelgava vs Olimps Riga
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimps Riga 10 / 100
Jelgava 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimps Riga Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jelgava has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Olimps Riga found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Jelgava has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimps Riga

(Home)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
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Jelgava

(Away)
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)