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Oliveira de Frades vs Bustelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Oliveira de Frades Logo

Oliveira de Frades

2 - 0
FT
Bustelo Logo

Bustelo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oliveira de Frades in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oliveira de Frades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Oliveira de Frades
15%
Draws
51%
Bustelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bustelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bustelo lately — more wins on the board than Oliveira de Frades.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 18%
Bustelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira de Frades Bustelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Oliveira de Frades
2:1
Feb 21, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Bustelo
2:0
Jan 3, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Bustelo
0:0
Oct 10, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Oliveira de Frades
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira de Frades 32 / 100
Bustelo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira de Frades Bustelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bustelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Bustelo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Oliveira de Frades found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Oliveira de Frades VS Bustelo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira de Frades

(Home)
08 Sept
Oliveira de Frades
0 : 3
Mortagua FC
15 May
Lusitano FCV
1 : 0
Oliveira de Frades
08 May
Oliveira de Frades
3 : 1
Lusitania FC
30 Apr
Oliveira de Frades
1 : 2
FC Cesarense
24 Apr
Gafanha
1 : 1
Oliveira de Frades
Page 1 of 6

Bustelo

(Away)
29 Sept
Beira Mar
2 : 0
Bustelo
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
15 May
Bustelo
1 : 0
Gafanha
08 May
Sanjoanense
2 : 0
Bustelo
30 Apr
Bustelo
2 : 3
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanjoanense 14 9 4 1 27:11 46
2 FC Cesarense 14 8 3 3 20:14 38
3 Lusitano FCV 14 5 4 5 16:10 34
4 Mortagua FC 14 6 1 7 13:16 29
5 Gafanha 14 5 4 5 14:17 27
6 Lusitania FC 14 4 5 5 13:16 27
7 Oliveira de Frades 14 3 3 8 15:22 22
8 Bustelo 14 3 2 9 10:22 18
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)