Sport Picks
Oliveira de Frades vs FC Cesarense
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Oliveira de Frades play FC Cesarense in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oliveira de Frades averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. FC Cesarense averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Oliveira de Frades won 1, FC Cesarense won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2016 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Oliveira de Frades and 1.94 for FC Cesarense. This points to a FC Cesarense double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Oliveira de Frades picked up more points recently compared to FC Cesarense.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.94 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oliveira de Frades | FC Cesarense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 38 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 14 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oliveira de Frades scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
FC Cesarense let in goals in 82% of their last 38 matches.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Oliveira de Frades went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
FC Cesarense lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanjoanense | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 27:11 | 46 |
| 2 | FC Cesarense | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 38 |
| 3 | Lusitano FCV | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Mortagua FC | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 13:16 | 29 |
| 5 | Gafanha | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | 27 |
| 6 | Lusitania FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:16 | 27 |
| 7 | Oliveira de Frades | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Bustelo | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:22 | 18 |