Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitania FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oliveira de Frades in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oliveira de Frades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Oliveira de Frades
39%
Draws
30%
Lusitania FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lusitania FC lately — more wins on the board than Oliveira de Frades.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Oliveira de Frades have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira de Frades Lusitania FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitania FC
3:1
Mar 20, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitania FC vs Oliveira de Frades
1:1
Dec 6, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitania FC
1:0
Sep 13, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitania FC vs Oliveira de Frades
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira de Frades 32 / 100
Lusitania FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira de Frades Lusitania FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitania FC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Oliveira de Frades found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Oliveira de Frades stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitania FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira de Frades

(Home)
08 Sept
Oliveira de Frades
0 : 3
Mortagua FC
15 May
Lusitano FCV
1 : 0
Oliveira de Frades
08 May
Oliveira de Frades
3 : 1
Lusitania FC
30 Apr
Oliveira de Frades
1 : 2
FC Cesarense
24 Apr
Gafanha
1 : 1
Oliveira de Frades
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Lusitania FC

(Away)
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
29 Jul
Lusitania FC
3 : 3
FC Porto B
25 Jul
Lusitania FC
1 : 0
Academico Viseu
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sanjoanense1494127:1146
2FC Cesarense1483320:1438
3Lusitano FCV1454516:1034
4Mortagua FC1461713:1629
5Gafanha1454514:1727
6Lusitania FC1445513:1627
7Oliveira de Frades1433815:2222
8Bustelo1432910:2218
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)