Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2024/2025

Oliveira de Frades

0 - 3

Mortagua FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC in this Taça de Portugal 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Oliveira de Frades

20%

Draws

38%

Mortagua FC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oliveira de Frades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Oliveira de Frades haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
42% — that's where the model lands on Oliveira de Frades taking it.
Mortagua FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Mortagua FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 20%

Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oliveira de Frades	Mortagua FC
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	6	17
Draws	7	6
Losses	17	11
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Taça de Portugal

Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC

0:3

Apr 3, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC

3:1

Feb 14, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Mortagua FC vs Oliveira de Frades

2:1

Nov 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC

1:2

Aug 23, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Mortagua FC vs Oliveira de Frades

2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira de Frades 42 / 100

Mortagua FC 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oliveira de Frades Mortagua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Mortagua FC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Difficult form: Mortagua FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Oliveira de Frades found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Mortagua FC

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira de Frades

(Home)

08 Sept

Oliveira de Frades

0 : 3

Mortagua FC

15 May

Lusitano FCV

1 : 0

Oliveira de Frades

08 May

Oliveira de Frades

3 : 1

Lusitania FC

30 Apr

Oliveira de Frades

1 : 2

FC Cesarense

24 Apr

Gafanha

1 : 1

Oliveira de Frades

Page 1 of 6

Mortagua FC

(Away)

18 Apr

Mortagua FC

2 : 1

Electrico FC

12 Apr

Vitoria Sernache

1 : 0

Mortagua FC

04 Apr

Mortagua FC

0 : 2

Os Marialvas

29 Mar

Mortagua FC

1 : 0

Marinhense

22 Mar

Naval 1893

2 : 0

Mortagua FC

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Varzim-

TBD-

Ferreiras-

TBD-

Boavista-

Leca2

AD Marco 093

TBD-

O Elvas CAD-

Academica2

SB Castelo Branco0

TBD-

Torreense-

GD Peniche-

TBD-

Pacos Ferreira-

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Camacha-

TBD-

Leiria-

TBD-

Nacional-

Marinhense-

TBD-

Caldas SC1

Uniao Da Serra0

Tirsense-

TBD-

Vieira2

Pedras Salgadas0

Brito2

FC Maia Lidador1

Abrantes Benfica0

Operario2

Moura AC1

Portel0

TBD-

Castrense-

Covilha-

TBD-

Pedrogao Sao Pedro1

SC Pombal3

Moncarapachense3

Grandolense0

Louletano3

Esperanca de Lagos0

Os Marialvas-

TBD-

Tondela-

Rebordosa3

Juventude Gaula0

TBD-

GD Braganca-

CD Lajense-

TBD-

Maria de Fonte2

Cardielense1

TBD-

Arouca-

Fatima-

TBD-

Figueirense0

Sanjoanense5

TBD-

SC Farense-

Pevidem-

TBD-

Maritimo-

TBD-

Benfica-

Vila Cortez2

Anadia4

TBD-

CD Rabo Peixe-

TBD-

Estrela da Amadora-

Guarda FC5

Estarreja4

TBD-

Leixoes-

Alcains-

TBD-

C.F. Benfica4

Industria3

1º Dezembro-

TBD-

Oliveirense-

TBD-

Braga-

Lusitano GC-

TBD-

Academico Viseu-

TBD-

Estoril-

Ferreira do Zezere2

Ac. Fundao0

TBD-

Os Sandinenses-

TBD-

AFS-

CF Os Gavionenses0

Arronches Benfica3

SC Vila Real1

GD Joane0

Academica Coimbra SF-

TBD-

Atletico Arcos-

Viana Alentejo1

CF Os Belenenses2

TBD-

Trofense-

TBD-

Gil Vicente-

Santarem2

Sacavenense0

TBD-

Desportivo Moncao-

TBD-

Moreirense-

Sintrense-

TBD-

FC Madalena0

Estrela Vendas Novas2

TBD-

FC Porto-

SC Vianense2

Vinhais1

TBD-

Portimonense-

TBD-

Sporting CP-

Electrico FC-

TBD-

AD Fafe1

Amarante FC4

Lajense-

TBD-

Fabril do Barreiro-

Lagoa-

TBD-

Uniao de Coimbra3

Beira Mar2

TBD-

Famalicao-

Gondomar-

TBD-

Alianca de Gandra2

SC Salgueiros1

TBD-

Santa Clara-

Amora-

TBD-

FC Felgueiras-

TBD-

Casa Pia-

Valpacos3

AD Limianos5

TBD-

Chaves-

Lusitania FC2

Uniao Lamas1

TBD-

Vizela-

Coimbroes-

TBD-

Alverca-

Pero Pinheiro-

TBD-

Feirense-

Atletico CP-

TBD-

Oliveira de Frades0

Mortagua FC3

TBD-

Rio Ave-

Oliveira Hospital-

TBD-

Machico3

Macedo de Cavaleiros0

Montijo-

TBD-

Mafra-

FC Alpendorada-

TBD-

Vieirense1

Sertanense4

Cinfaes3

GD Resende0

TBD-

FC Barreirense-

Tocha-

TBD-

Penafiel-

Sao Roque1

SC Lusitania2

Velense1

Regua2

UD Ovarense1

Sao Joao de Ver2

Praia Milfontes0

Serpa5

Paredes-

TBD-

Dumiense2

Vilaverdense FC3

1/64-finals

Varzim3

Ferreiras0

TBD-

Boavista-

AD Marco 090

O Elvas CAD1

Academica0

Torreense1

GD Peniche0

Pacos Ferreira2

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Camacha0

Leiria2

TBD-

Nacional-

Marinhense0

Caldas SC1

Tirsense2

Vieira0

Brito1

Operario0

Moura AC4

Castrense2

Covilha4

SC Pombal0

Moncarapachense2

Louletano1

Os Marialvas2

Tondela1

Rebordosa2

GD Braganca1

CD Lajense0

Maria de Fonte1

TBD-

Arouca-

Fatima0

Sanjoanense1

TBD-

SC Farense-

Pevidem2

Maritimo1

TBD-

Benfica-

Anadia3

CD Rabo Peixe0

TBD-

Estrela da Amadora-

Guarda FC0

Leixoes1

Alcains4

C.F. Benfica1

1º Dezembro2

Oliveirense1

TBD-

Braga-

Lusitano GC2

Academico Viseu1

TBD-

Estoril-

Ferreira do Zezere1

Os Sandinenses2

TBD-

AFS-

Arronches Benfica0

SC Vila Real1

Academica Coimbra SF1

Atletico Arcos2

CF Os Belenenses3

Trofense0

TBD-

Gil Vicente-

Santarem2

Desportivo Moncao1

TBD-

Moreirense-

Sintrense2

Estrela Vendas Novas1

TBD-

FC Porto-

SC Vianense1

Portimonense3

TBD-

Sporting CP-

Electrico FC0

Amarante FC2

Lajense2

Fabril do Barreiro1

Lagoa2

Uniao de Coimbra0

TBD-

Famalicao-

Gondomar1

Alianca de Gandra0

TBD-

Santa Clara-

Amora1

FC Felgueiras0

TBD-

Casa Pia-

AD Limianos0

Chaves2

Lusitania FC4

Vizela3

Coimbroes2

Alverca3

Pero Pinheiro1

Feirense0

Atletico CP3

Mortagua FC0

TBD-

Rio Ave-

Oliveira Hospital2

Machico0

Montijo1

Mafra2

FC Alpendorada3

Sertanense0

Cinfaes3

FC Barreirense2

Tocha1

Penafiel4

SC Lusitania2

Regua1

Sao Joao de Ver1

Serpa0

Paredes3

Vilaverdense FC2

1/32-finals

Varzim1

Boavista0

O Elvas CAD3

Torreense2

Pacos Ferreira1

Vitoria Guimaraes3

Leiria2

Nacional1

Caldas SC1

Tirsense2

Brito1

Moura AC0

Covilha3

Moncarapachense2

Os Marialvas1

Rebordosa2

Maria de Fonte0

Arouca5

Sanjoanense2

SC Farense4

Pevidem0

Benfica2

Anadia1

Estrela da Amadora3

Leixoes2

Alcains1

1º Dezembro1

Braga2

Lusitano GC1

Estoril0

Os Sandinenses0

AFS2

SC Vila Real2

Atletico Arcos0

CF Os Belenenses0

Gil Vicente2

Santarem1

Moreirense2

Sintrense0

FC Porto3

Portimonense1

Sporting CP2

Amarante FC6

Lajense1

Lagoa0

Famalicao2

Gondomar0

Santa Clara1

Amora0

Casa Pia5

Chaves2

Lusitania FC0

Alverca3

Pero Pinheiro0

Atletico CP1

Rio Ave3

Oliveira Hospital1

Mafra0

FC Alpendorada1

Cinfaes2

Penafiel2

SC Lusitania3

Sao Joao de Ver4

Paredes1

1/16-finals

Varzim1

O Elvas CAD2

Vitoria Guimaraes2

Leiria0

Tirsense1

Brito0

Covilha2

Rebordosa3

Arouca1

SC Farense2

Benfica7

Estrela da Amadora0

Leixoes0

Braga2

Lusitano GC3

AFS2

SC Vila Real0

Gil Vicente2

Moreirense2

FC Porto1

Sporting CP6

Amarante FC0

Famalicao0

Santa Clara1

Casa Pia3

Chaves0

Alverca2

Rio Ave3

Oliveira Hospital4

Cinfaes2

SC Lusitania0

Sao Joao de Ver2

1/8-finals

O Elvas CAD2

Vitoria Guimaraes1

Tirsense1

Rebordosa0

SC Farense1

Benfica3

Braga2

Lusitano GC1

Gil Vicente1

Moreirense0

Sporting CP2

Santa Clara1

Casa Pia1

Rio Ave3

Oliveira Hospital1

Sao Joao de Ver3

Quarter-finals

O Elvas CAD0

Tirsense2

Benfica1

Braga0

Gil Vicente0

Sporting CP1

Rio Ave2

Sao Joao de Ver1

Semi-finals

Tirsense0

Benfica9

Sporting CP4

Rio Ave1

Final

Benfica1

Sporting CP3