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Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 game between Oliveira de Frades and Mortagua FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oliveira de Frades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Oliveira de Frades
20%
Draws
38%
Mortagua FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oliveira de Frades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Mortagua FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Oliveira de Frades taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 20%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira de Frades Mortagua FC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC
0:3
Apr 3, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC
3:1
Feb 14, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Mortagua FC vs Oliveira de Frades
2:1
Nov 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oliveira de Frades vs Mortagua FC
1:2
Aug 23, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Mortagua FC vs Oliveira de Frades
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira de Frades 42 / 100
Mortagua FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira de Frades Mortagua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Mortagua FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Mortagua FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Oliveira de Frades scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mortagua FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira de Frades

(Home)
08 Sept
Oliveira de Frades
0 : 3
Mortagua FC
15 May
Lusitano FCV
1 : 0
Oliveira de Frades
08 May
Oliveira de Frades
3 : 1
Lusitania FC
30 Apr
Oliveira de Frades
1 : 2
FC Cesarense
24 Apr
Gafanha
1 : 1
Oliveira de Frades
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Mortagua FC

(Away)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sanjoanense1494127:1146
2FC Cesarense1483320:1438
3Lusitano FCV1454516:1034
4Mortagua FC1461713:1629
5Gafanha1454514:1727
6Lusitania FC1445513:1627
7Oliveira de Frades1433815:2222
8Bustelo1432910:2218
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)