Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oliveira do Douro vs Rebordosa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Goncalves L.
28' Event
Couto J.
82' Event
Djousse D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Oliveira do Douro
15%
Draws
36%
Rebordosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveira do Douro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rebordosa lately — more wins on the board than Oliveira do Douro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Oliveira do Douro Clean Sheet 68%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira do Douro Rebordosa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Oliveira do Douro
2:0
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Oliveira do Douro vs Rebordosa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oliveira do Douro Compare

Top Goalscorer Couto J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roger
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Rebordosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djousse D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira do Douro 41 / 100
Rebordosa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira do Douro Rebordosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliveira do Douro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira do Douro found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Rebordosa conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Rebordosa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rebordosa
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira do Douro

(Home)
07 Apr
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 1
Amarante FC
24 Mar
Rebordosa
2 : 0
Oliveira do Douro
17 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 2
Paredes
09 Mar
AD Marco 09
2 : 4
Oliveira do Douro
03 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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Rebordosa

(Away)
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
31 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Rebordosa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 26 17 8 1 40:15 59
2 Sao Joao de Ver 26 12 9 5 27:18 45
3 Gondomar 26 12 7 7 28:20 43
4 AD Marco 09 26 11 8 7 29:22 41
5 Rebordosa 26 8 12 6 27:23 36
6 Paredes 26 9 8 9 31:25 35
7 SC Salgueiros 26 9 8 9 35:26 35
8 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 8 10 8 35:32 34
9 Beira Mar 26 8 10 8 31:31 34
10 Florgrade 26 8 9 9 24:24 33
11 Oliveira do Douro 26 6 8 12 25:33 26
12 Valadares Gaia FC 26 6 6 14 22:47 24
13 ACDR Lamelas 26 7 3 16 19:39 24
14 Vila Mea 26 6 4 16 27:45 22
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)