Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oliveira do Douro vs SC Salgueiros

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Couto J.
81' Event
Nilo Souza

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 game between Oliveira do Douro and SC Salgueiros finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Oliveira do Douro
30%
Draws
51%
SC Salgueiros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Salgueiros come out ahead of Oliveira do Douro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Salgueiros's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Oliveira do Douro Clean Sheet 24%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira do Douro SC Salgueiros
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 13
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.17 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Oliveira do Douro vs SC Salgueiros
1:1
Nov 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Oliveira do Douro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oliveira do Douro Compare

Top Goalscorer Couto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilo Souza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira do Douro 25 / 100
SC Salgueiros 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira do Douro SC Salgueiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Salgueiros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira do Douro's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

SC Salgueiros let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Oliveira do Douro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Salgueiros
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira do Douro

(Home)
07 Apr
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 1
Amarante FC
24 Mar
Rebordosa
2 : 0
Oliveira do Douro
17 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 2
Paredes
09 Mar
AD Marco 09
2 : 4
Oliveira do Douro
03 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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SC Salgueiros

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 26 17 8 1 40:15 59
2 Sao Joao de Ver 26 12 9 5 27:18 45
3 Gondomar 26 12 7 7 28:20 43
4 AD Marco 09 26 11 8 7 29:22 41
5 Rebordosa 26 8 12 6 27:23 36
6 Paredes 26 9 8 9 31:25 35
7 SC Salgueiros 26 9 8 9 35:26 35
8 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 8 10 8 35:32 34
9 Beira Mar 26 8 10 8 31:31 34
10 Florgrade 26 8 9 9 24:24 33
11 Oliveira do Douro 26 6 8 12 25:33 26
12 Valadares Gaia FC 26 6 6 14 22:47 24
13 ACDR Lamelas 26 7 3 16 19:39 24
14 Vila Mea 26 6 4 16 27:45 22
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)