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Oliveira Hospital vs GD Sourense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Oliveira Hospital
15%
Draws
0%
GD Sourense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveira Hospital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • GD Sourense haven't matched Oliveira Hospital's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oliveira Hospital a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Oliveira Hospital have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oliveira Hospital, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 20%
GD Sourense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira Hospital GD Sourense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.63 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Taça de Portugal
Oliveira Hospital vs GD Sourense
1:0
May 10, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oliveira Hospital vs GD Sourense
1:1
Mar 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GD Sourense vs Oliveira Hospital
1:0
Dec 14, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GD Sourense vs Oliveira Hospital
1:0
Sep 21, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oliveira Hospital vs GD Sourense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira Hospital 85 / 100
GD Sourense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira Hospital GD Sourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliveira Hospital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira Hospital scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

GD Sourense let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Oliveira Hospital stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: GD Sourense has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oliveira Hospital VS GD Sourense
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oliveira Hospital

(Home)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
GD Sourense
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 6

GD Sourense

(Away)
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
GD Sourense
31 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
1 : 0
GD Sourense
22 Apr
GD Sourense
1 : 2
Marinhense
15 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
3 : 2
GD Sourense
08 Apr
GD Sourense
1 : 2
Maritimo B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Salgueiros 2
Sousense 1
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Feirense -
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Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 8
Fayal 0
C.F. Benfica 3
Viana Alentejo 0
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Maritimo -
Imortal -
TBD -
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Tondela -
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Alverca -
Ermesinde 1
Paredes 3
Maria de Fonte 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
TBD -
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Famalicao -
Beira Mar 4
Uniao Lamas 3
Lusitano GC 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
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Arouca -
Fazendense 1
Mocarriense 0
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Figueirense -
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Estrela da Amadora -
Malveira 2
Mafra 3
TBD -
Tirsense -
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Santa Clara -
Santarem -
TBD -
Merelinense 2
Atletico Arcos 0
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Gil Vicente -
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
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AFS -
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Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Portalegrense 0
Santo Antonio 3
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Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 3
Pacos de Brandao 0
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Nacional -
Rebordosa 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 5
CF Os Gavionenses 0
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Casa Pia -
Serpa 2
Grandolense 0
Castrense 0
Louletano 1
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Rio Ave -
Fatima 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vinhais -
TBD -
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Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 5
SC Angrense 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Regua 0
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 1
Vila Mea 0
1º Dezembro 0
Real SC 1
TBD -
Academica -
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
Amarante FC -
O Elvas CAD 9
Sao Roque 0
TBD -
Leiria -
Rebordelo 0
GD Braganca 4
Celoricense 1
Pevidem 0
Montijo 0
Atletico CP 4
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Lagoa -
Bombarralense -
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Vizela -
Ac. Fundao 0
Guarda FC 6
TBD -
Chaves -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 0
Os Marialvas 4
Estrela Calheta -
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SC Vianense 8
Minas de Argozelo 0
Cinfaes 1
SC Espinho 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Oliveirense 4
Penalva do Castelo 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
Covilha 0
Mortagua FC 1
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Leca -
Nogueirense 1
Naval 1893 3
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FC Felgueiras -
Pacos Ferreira 0
AD Fafe 1
TBD -
Lajense -
Olhanense -
TBD -
Messejanense 0
Portel 8
Oliveira Hospital 1
GD Sourense 0
Uniao Montemor 1
Juv. Evora 4
SC Barreiro 2
FC Madalena 5
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Lusitania FC -
Correlha 1
AD Limianos 4
Ferreiras 0
Aljustrelense 3
Alcains 1
Sertanense 0
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Vitoria Setubal -
Amora -
TBD -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Uniao de Pombal 0
Machico 2
Camacha 3
Florgrade 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Castro Daire -
TBD -
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Portimonense -
Vila Pouca -
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Brito -
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
Varzim 5
Trofense 1
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1/64-finals
SC Salgueiros 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 2
C.F. Benfica 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Imortal 1
Tondela 5
TBD -
Alverca -
Paredes 5
Maria de Fonte 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Beira Mar 0
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Fazendense 6
Figueirense 1
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra 3
Tirsense 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Santarem 5
Merelinense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Sintrense 0
AFS 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas 4
Santo Antonio 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 4
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Serpa 1
Louletano 2
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Fatima 4
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 0
SC Farense 1
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 0
Real SC 1
Academica 4
Ponte da Barca 0
Amarante FC 2
O Elvas CAD 0
Leiria 2
GD Braganca 6
Celoricense 1
Atletico CP 4
Lagoa 1
Bombarralense 0
Vizela 1
Guarda FC 2
Chaves 3
UD Ovarense 0
Os Marialvas 1
Estrela Calheta 1
SC Vianense 3
Cinfaes 0
Leixoes 4
Oliveirense 1
Penafiel 2
Mortagua FC 0
Leca 2
Naval 1893 0
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Fafe 4
Lajense 0
Olhanense 1
Portel 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Juv. Evora 2
FC Madalena 1
Lusitania FC 3
AD Limianos 3
Aljustrelense 0
Alcains 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Amora 3
Uniao Da Serra 4
Camacha 0
Florgrade 1
Castro Daire 0
Portimonense 1
Vila Pouca 0
Brito 5
Vitoria Sernache 2
Varzim 1
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1/32-finals
SC Salgueiros -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense -
Maritimo -
Tondela -
Alverca -
Paredes -
Famalicao -
CF Os Belenenses -
Arouca -
Fazendense -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra -
Santa Clara -
Santarem -
Gil Vicente -
AFS -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Sanjoanense -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada -
Casa Pia -
Louletano -
Rio Ave -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
SC Farense -
AD Marco 09 -
Academica -
Amarante FC -
Leiria -
GD Braganca -
Atletico CP -
Vizela -
Chaves -
Os Marialvas -
SC Vianense -
Leixoes -
Penafiel -
Leca -
FC Felgueiras -
AD Fafe -
Olhanense -
Oliveira Hospital -
Lusitania FC -
AD Limianos -
Vitoria Setubal -
Uniao Da Serra -
Florgrade -
Portimonense -
Brito -
Vitoria Sernache -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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