Sport Picks
Oliveira Hospital vs SB Castelo Branco
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Estádio Municipal de Tábua, Tábua 
Match Events
12'
12'
Araujo E.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Mota C.
61'
61'
Dias R.
AI Match Summary
SB Castelo Branco in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SB Castelo Branco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveira Hospital
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Oliveira Hospital have won more games recently than SB Castelo Branco.
- Oliveira Hospital are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 68%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oliveira Hospital | SB Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.65 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs SB Castelo Branco
2:3
Mar 21, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs SB Castelo Branco
2:0
May 16, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Oliveira Hospital vs SB Castelo Branco
2:2
Apr 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SB Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oliveira Hospital Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncalves S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
SB Castelo Branco Compare
Top Goalscorer Mota C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dias R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oliveira Hospital 95 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oliveira Hospital SB Castelo Branco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oliveira Hospital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oliveira Hospital scored in 82% of their last 34 games.
Solid form: Oliveira Hospital remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
SB Castelo Branco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Oliveira Hospital VS SB Castelo Branco
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Oliveira Hospital
(Home) 20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2 Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1 Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0 Naval 1893
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0 GD Sourense
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2 Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2 Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0 Naval 1893
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0 GD Sourense
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3 SB Castelo Branco
31 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1 Malveira
Page 1 of 4
SB Castelo Branco
(Away) 13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3 Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4 Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3 SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3 SB Castelo Branco
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2 SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortagua FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Uniao Da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | O Elvas CAD | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 7 | Nogueirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 8 | SB Castelo Branco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 9 | Fatima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Malveira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 11 | Sertanense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 12 | Fazendense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 1 |
| 13 | Alverca B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 14 | GD Os Nazarenos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)
