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Oliveira Hospital vs SB Castelo Branco

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Okenwa F.
79' Event
Viana N.

AI Match Summary

Oliveira Hospital in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oliveira Hospital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Oliveira Hospital
39%
Draws
31%
SB Castelo Branco
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • SB Castelo Branco have won more games recently than Oliveira Hospital.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 68%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oliveira Hospital SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 11 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs SB Castelo Branco
2:0
May 16, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Oliveira Hospital vs SB Castelo Branco
2:2
Apr 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SB Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital
1:1
Feb 27, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oliveira Hospital Compare

Top Goalscorer Okenwa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viana N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

SB Castelo Branco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oliveira Hospital 41 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oliveira Hospital SB Castelo Branco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira Hospital's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SB Castelo Branco has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Oliveira Hospital stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oliveira Hospital VS SB Castelo Branco
2.13 Goals Scored 1.14
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817