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Olivenza FC vs CD Badajoz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Barba J.
19' Event
Ramos D.
57' Event
Sanchez J.

AI Match Summary

Olivenza FC host CD Badajoz in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Olivenza FC at 0 goals for, 0 against; CD Badajoz at 2 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor CD Badajoz slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2025, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.04 - 1.55) back CD Badajoz to edge this. CD Badajoz in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Olivenza FC
6%
Draws
90%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Badajoz has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Olivenza FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for CD Badajoz.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 15%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza FC CD Badajoz
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 23
Draws 8 5
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs CD Badajoz
1:3
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Olivenza FC
4:0
Dec 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Olivenza FC vs CD Badajoz
1:1
Aug 10, 2022 Club Friendly
Olivenza FC vs CD Badajoz
0:2
Aug 16, 2019 Club Friendly
Olivenza FC vs CD Badajoz
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olivenza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Barba J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza FC 10 / 100
CD Badajoz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza FC CD Badajoz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olivenza FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

CD Badajoz let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Olivenza FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

CD Badajoz lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Badajoz
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura34236573:2275
2CD Azuaga342011365:2871
3Jaraiz34216765:4069
4AD Llerenense34215858:2868
5CD Badajoz341712554:2063
6CD Diocesano341771058:3858
7Santa Amalia341661231:3154
8Jerez CF341491150:4851
9SP Villafranca341451555:5547
10Moralo341371452:5046
11Montijo3411121135:3445
12Pueblonuevo34991642:7136
13CD Calamonte34891736:4833
14Puebla de la Calzada347111635:5632
15Castuera34781946:6429
16CF Trujillo346101832:6328
17Arroyo34572232:7022
18Olivenza FC34382326:7917