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Olivenza FC vs Fuente de Cantos Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sargeant J.
62' Event
Murillo W.
78' Event
Escandon E.

AI Match Summary

Fuente de Cantos in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fuente de Cantos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olivenza FC
30%
Draws
70%
Fuente de Cantos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fuente de Cantos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fuente de Cantos lately — more wins on the board than Olivenza FC.
  • Win probability leans Fuente de Cantos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 14%
Fuente de Cantos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza FC Fuente de Cantos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 8 10
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.81 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Fuente de Cantos
1:3
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs Olivenza FC
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs Olivenza FC
0:0
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Fuente de Cantos
0:1
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Fuente de Cantos
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olivenza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Escandon E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Fuente de Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Sargeant J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murillo W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza FC 10 / 100
Fuente de Cantos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza FC Fuente de Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fuente de Cantos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fuente de Cantos conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Olivenza FC scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Fuente de Cantos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olivenza FC VS Fuente de Cantos
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Olivenza FC

(Home)
11 May
Olivenza FC
0 : 3
Jerez CF
04 May
Santa Amalia
1 : 0
Olivenza FC
27 Apr
Olivenza FC
0 : 5
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
Montijo
6 : 0
Olivenza FC
13 Apr
Olivenza FC
3 : 6
SP Villafranca
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Fuente de Cantos

(Away)
14 Aug
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 5
AD Llerenense
12 May
Fuente de Cantos
3 : 3
Jaraiz
05 May
CF Trujillo
1 : 0
Fuente de Cantos
27 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
0 : 0
CD Coria
21 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 2
Fuente de Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)