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Olivenza FC vs Jerez CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Jimenez D.
17' Event
Chavez C.
90' Event
Chavez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between Olivenza FC and Jerez CF finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerez CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Olivenza FC
6%
Draws
90%
Jerez CF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Olivenza FC haven't matched Jerez CF's recent run of results.
  • Jerez CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 18%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza FC Jerez CF
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 10
Draws 8 14
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Jerez CF
0:3
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Olivenza FC
2:1
Aug 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Jerez CF vs Olivenza FC
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs Jerez CF
1:2
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Olivenza FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olivenza FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jerez CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza FC 10 / 100
Jerez CF 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza FC Jerez CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Jerez CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Olivenza FC scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jerez CF
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olivenza FC

(Home)
11 May
Olivenza FC
0 : 3
Jerez CF
04 May
Santa Amalia
1 : 0
Olivenza FC
27 Apr
Olivenza FC
0 : 5
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
Montijo
6 : 0
Olivenza FC
13 Apr
Olivenza FC
3 : 6
SP Villafranca
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Jerez CF

(Away)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1
Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0
Jerez CF
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2
Don Benito
12 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
3 : 0
Jerez CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura34236573:2275
2CD Azuaga342011365:2871
3Jaraiz34216765:4069
4AD Llerenense34215858:2868
5CD Badajoz341712554:2063
6CD Diocesano341771058:3858
7Santa Amalia341661231:3154
8Jerez CF341491150:4851
9SP Villafranca341451555:5547
10Moralo341371452:5046
11Montijo3411121135:3445
12Pueblonuevo34991642:7136
13CD Calamonte34891736:4833
14Puebla de la Calzada347111635:5632
15Castuera34781946:6429
16CF Trujillo346101832:6328
17Arroyo34572232:7022
18Olivenza FC34382326:7917
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)