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Olivenza FC vs UP Plasencia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event

AI Match Summary

Olivenza FC in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olivenza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olivenza FC
20%
Draws
80%
UP Plasencia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UP Plasencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UP Plasencia lately — more wins on the board than Olivenza FC.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on UP Plasencia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 24%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olivenza FC UP Plasencia
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs UP Plasencia
2:1
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Olivenza FC
0:3
Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Olivenza FC vs UP Plasencia
1:2
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Olivenza FC
1:0
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Olivenza FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olivenza FC 10 / 100
UP Plasencia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olivenza FC UP Plasencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Plasencia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UP Plasencia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

UP Plasencia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Olivenza FC scored in 57% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Olivenza FC VS UP Plasencia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.29
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 29%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Olivenza FC

(Home)
11 May
Olivenza FC
0 : 3
Jerez CF
04 May
Santa Amalia
1 : 0
Olivenza FC
27 Apr
Olivenza FC
0 : 5
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
Montijo
6 : 0
Olivenza FC
13 Apr
Olivenza FC
3 : 6
SP Villafranca
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UP Plasencia

(Away)
27 Sept
Castuera
1 : 0
UP Plasencia
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)