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OltrepoVoghera vs Ciliverghe Mazzano Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 game between OltrepoVoghera and Ciliverghe Mazzano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciliverghe Mazzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
OltrepoVoghera
30%
Draws
47%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciliverghe Mazzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciliverghe Mazzano come out ahead of OltrepoVoghera on wins alone.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on OltrepoVoghera taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 20%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OltrepoVoghera Ciliverghe Mazzano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 6
Draws 13 7
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group D
OltrepoVoghera vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
0:2
Dec 8, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs OltrepoVoghera
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OltrepoVoghera 49 / 100
Ciliverghe Mazzano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OltrepoVoghera Ciliverghe Mazzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OltrepoVoghera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Ciliverghe Mazzano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

OltrepoVoghera found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OltrepoVoghera

(Home)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 6

Ciliverghe Mazzano

(Away)
04 May
Pro Sesto
2 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
27 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
17 Apr
Folgore Caratese
5 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
13 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 : 0
Sant'Angelo
06 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)