Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OltrepoVoghera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- OltrepoVoghera have won more games recently than Novese.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on OltrepoVoghera taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 18%
Novese Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | OltrepoVoghera | Novese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 15 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 0.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 2.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2016 Serie D - Group A
OltrepoVoghera vs Novese
0:0
Oct 14, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs OltrepoVoghera
2:2
Mar 1, 2015 Serie D - Group A
OltrepoVoghera vs Novese
0:4
Oct 19, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs OltrepoVoghera
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
OltrepoVoghera 85 / 100
Novese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
OltrepoVoghera Novese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OltrepoVoghera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Novese conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
Away concern: Novese has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
OltrepoVoghera found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (38 games).
Scoring Trends
OltrepoVoghera VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
OltrepoVoghera
(Home) 05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1 OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0 OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1 OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 8
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Fiorenzuola
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Ciliverghe Mazzano
31 Mar
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 2 Reggiana
03 Mar
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 1 Mezzolara
17 Feb
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 4
Novese
(Away) 08 May
Bra
6 : 0 Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5 Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0 Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7 Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1 Novese
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Bra
6 : 0 Novese
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0 Novese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1 Novese
20 Mar
Derthona FbC
2 : 0 Novese
06 Mar
Caronnese
6 : 1 Novese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Bellinzago | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 74:31 | 86 |
| 2 | Caronnese | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 74:23 | 82 |
| 3 | Lavagnese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 4 | AC Chieri | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 74:41 | 72 |
| 5 | Argentina | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 48:25 | 66 |
| 6 | Gozzano | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:38 | 63 |
| 7 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 40:25 | 61 |
| 8 | Pinerolo | 38 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 50:46 | 61 |
| 9 | RapalloBogliasco | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 52:40 | 57 |
| 10 | OltrepoVoghera | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 53:44 | 53 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 12 | Bra | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 53:55 | 51 |
| 13 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:46 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Settimo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:45 | 43 |
| 15 | Ligorna | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 45:73 | 40 |
| 16 | Vado | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 43:61 | 40 |
| 17 | Fezzanese | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 38:75 | 34 |
| 18 | Acqui US | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 29:70 | 28 |
| 19 | Castellazzo | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 29:73 | 22 |
| 20 | Novese | 38 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 26:99 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)
