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OltrepoVoghera vs Vallee d'Aoste

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2014/2015 game between OltrepoVoghera and Vallee d'Aoste finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OltrepoVoghera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
OltrepoVoghera
15%
Draws
0%
Vallee d'Aoste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OltrepoVoghera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vallee d'Aoste carry the better recent record into this one.
  • OltrepoVoghera are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 18%
Vallee d'Aoste Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OltrepoVoghera Vallee d'Aoste
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.71 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2015 Serie D - Group A
OltrepoVoghera vs Vallee d'Aoste
3:0
Oct 5, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Vallee d'Aoste vs OltrepoVoghera
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OltrepoVoghera 40 / 100
Vallee d'Aoste 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OltrepoVoghera Vallee d'Aoste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OltrepoVoghera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vallee d'Aoste conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Vallee d'Aoste registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

OltrepoVoghera scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

OltrepoVoghera VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

OltrepoVoghera

(Home)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 7

Vallee d'Aoste

(Away)
10 May
Acqui US
3 : 1
Vallee d'Aoste
03 May
Vallee d'Aoste
0 : 1
Cuneo
26 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
3 : 1
Vallee d'Aoste
19 Apr
Vallee d'Aoste
2 : 3
AC Chieri
12 Apr
Derthona FbC
2 : 0
Vallee d'Aoste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuneo 38 24 7 7 63:30 79
2 Sestri Levante 38 22 12 4 48:24 78
3 AC Chieri 38 22 8 8 60:36 74
4 Borgosesia Calcio 38 22 7 9 73:46 73
5 Caronnese 38 19 14 5 62:33 71
6 Pro Settimo 38 19 9 10 56:41 66
7 Bra 38 18 11 9 68:49 65
8 OltrepoVoghera 38 18 7 13 59:50 61
9 Lavagnese 38 16 10 12 50:43 58
10 Acqui US 38 14 12 12 53:49 54
11 Sporting Bellinzago 38 14 9 15 56:60 51
12 Vado 38 13 8 17 54:62 47
13 Novese 38 12 9 17 45:48 45
14 Asti Calcio 38 11 11 16 40:50 44
15 Argentina 38 11 11 16 58:70 44
16 RapalloBogliasco 38 11 9 18 46:57 42
17 Sancolombano 38 7 12 19 29:48 33
18 Derthona FbC 38 6 9 23 30:61 27
19 Vallee d'Aoste 38 5 6 27 37:74 21
20 Borgomanero 38 3 5 30 29:85 14
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
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