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Olympia Warriors vs Hobart United

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olympia Warriors host Hobart United in the Tasmania Southern Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Olympia Warriors have averaged 2.75 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Hobart United's 2 scored and 5.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Olympia Warriors have won 5 to Hobart United's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:6. Model xG sits at 4.00 vs 1.56, favoring Olympia Warriors. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Olympia Warriors
6%
Draws
4%
Hobart United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olympia Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olympia Warriors lately — more wins on the board than Hobart United.
  • Model gives Olympia Warriors a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Olympia Warriors have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Olympia Warriors Clean Sheet 15%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olympia Warriors Hobart United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 2.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 5.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 5.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors
0:6
Aug 16, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors
1:2
Aug 13, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs Olympia Warriors
1:2
May 9, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs Hobart United
5:2
Jul 19, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Olympia Warriors vs Hobart United
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olympia Warriors 84 / 100
Hobart United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olympia Warriors Hobart United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olympia Warriors scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Hobart United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Olympia Warriors remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olympia Warriors VS Hobart United
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 5.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U2114101367:2031
2Olympia Warriors1491439:2328
3Hobart City1484239:2428
4New Town Eagles1475248:1726
5Taroona1473447:2124
6Clarence Zebras U211471636:3622
7Hobart United1432927:6511
8University of Tasmania14311027:5310
9Glenorchy Knights U2114221031:588
10South East United U2160066:500